Saturday, December 27, 2014

Saturday Night Hockey: Reformatting The World Junior Championship

Initially I wasn't going to post anything (a week of reviews/previews I figure I'd take a little break before getting back at it), but then I read what IIHF writer Andrew Podnieks wrote about teams staying up in the U20 main tournament, and I completely agree. It is hard for teams outside of the "Big Six"* to keep up with the competition and in the main tournament. Just on the first day, we saw the good (newly-promoted Denmark hanging on against Russia and forcing a shootout) and the bad (Canada running over Slovakia) of what the lower teams can do. But there aren't as many good moments as their are bad, and the bottom teams are left to see who is lucky enough to get eliminated in the quarter finals.

To even out the competition a bit, and give some hope to the bottom teams, the IIHF should look into adding a few teams. Now, the other tiers of the U20 are even at six teams per tournament, so they will have to find a couple countries willing to form U20 teams (on quick count, seven countries have teams at the World Championship level but do not compete at the U20 level). Assuming this does happen, I propose go back to an old World Championship format. The format would see 4 groups of 3 teams. All teams in a group face each other once, with the top 2 moving on while the bottom team go to the relegation round. The top 2 of a group (lets say Group A) merge with the top 2 of another (Group B) and face the other teams they haven't faced yet (in this example, Group C would merge with Group D). This round would determine the seeding for the playoffs.

Using how the teams ranked from last year, and adding in the top 2 teams from Division I this year (Belarus and Norway), here is what the preliminary round would look like:


Group A
  Group B
  Group C
  Group D
Finland
Sweden
Russia
Canada
Slovakia
Switzerland
Czech Republic
USA
Germany
Denmark
Belarus
Norway

Note: Norway finished 10th last year in the main tournament. I have replaced that spot with Denmark.

After the first round, the seeding and relegation groups would look like this:

Seeding Group 1
Seeding Group 2
Relegation Group
Finland
Russia
Germany
Sweden
Canada
Denmark
Switzerland
USA
Belarus
Slovakia
Czech Republic
Norway

In this round, Finland would only play Sweden and Switzerland (since they already played their game against Slovakia).

The preliminary round would be played on December 26, 27, and 28. The seeding round would be played on December 30 and 31, so the two rounds cover the current round robin schedule (minus games on the 29th). Figuring out the schedule for the relegation group may be a problem, as teams play three more teams instead of two. There might be a longer layoff for those teams as the relegation round normally happens when the playoffs start. The current version has January 2th (quarter finals), January 3rd (rest day) and January 5th (medal games). With an extra game added each day, it might look like the 3rd, 4th, and 5th, or have that round in another venue. Relegation would likely go back to having 2 teams sent down to Division rather than the current 1 team.

There are a couple benefits with this format. The top 8 teams' schedule builds up throughout the tournament instead of going weak team-strong team-weak team-etc. which puts more emphasis on them staying consistently strong throughout the tournament. For the weaker teams, they get to test themselves against tough competition before going against similar strength teams. Another benefit with having a kind of AAAA league (to use a baseball analogy) is that the teams that do manage to stay up are more likely to get more funding to help them develop talent. Probably the biggest benefit is the exposer to strong teams that players on the weaker teams get. Granted, this benefit might not be as beneficial on a U20 level where a player has a limited window, but it will help strengthen the senior team.

There probably are better ways of fixing this tournament so the weaker teams can have experience at the main tournament and not be too much of a pushover. This way at least gives teams on the outside a better chance of staying up  and competing in the main tournament.

*Canada, USA, Russia, Sweden, Finland, and Czech Republic. At the senior level you could make it seven with Slovakia, but that's a point of contention.

Friday, December 26, 2014

2015 World Junior Championship Preview: Group B

Group B is held in Toronto, and is headlined by a couple of medalist from last year in Sweden (silver) and Russia (bronze). The Czech Republic will look to buck the trend of finishing in the middle of the pack. Switzerland and Denmark come in with a couple of offensive weapons, but will need to hang defensively in order to cause a few upsets.

Note: most information from the fanciest of IIHF websites.

Rosters

Czech Republic

Goalies:
Name
Team
Miroslav Svoboda
Ocelari Trinec
Vitek Vanecek
Bili Tygri Liberec
Daniel Vladar
Rytiri Kladno

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Marek Baranek
HC Litvinov
Lukas Klok
Vitkovice Ostrava
Jan Kostalek
Rimouski Oceanic
Dominik Masin
Petersborough Petes
David Nemecek
TPS Turku
Jan Scotka
HC Pardubice
Jan Stencel
Vitkovice Ostrava

Forwards:
Name
Team
Sebastian Gorcik
Energie Karlovy Vary
David Kampf
Pirati Chomutov
Ondrej Kase
Pirati Chomutov
Dominik Kubalik
HC Plzen 1929
Jan Mandat
Val d'Or Foreurs
David Pastrnak
Providence Bruins
Marek Ruzicka
Ocelari Trinec
Michael Spacek
HC Pardubice
Daniel Vozenilek
HC Pardubice
Jakub Vrana
Linkopings HC
Pavel Zacha
Sarnia Sting
Patrik Zdrahal
Vitkovice Ostrava


Denmark

Goalies:
Name
Team
Nicolaj Henriksen
Esberg Energy
Thomas Lillie
Vaxjo Lakers
George Sorensen
Herning Blue Fox

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Victor Eskerod
Unibert Stars Gentofte
Daniel Hansen
SonderjyskE Vojens
Sonny Hertzberg
Oshawa Generals
Anders Krogsgaard
Esbjerg Energy
Mads Larsen
Malmo Redhawks
Matias Lassen
Rodovre Mighty Bulls
Daniel Nielsen
Hvidovre IK

Forwards:
Name
Team
Mikkel Aagaard
Niagara IceDogs
Matthias Asperup
Malmo Redhawks
Oliver Bjorkstrand
Portland Winterhawks
Nikolaj Ehlers
Halifax Mooseheads
Mads Eller
Edmonton Oil Kings
Jeppe Holmberg
Esbjerg Energy
Kristian Jensen
Lulea HF
Marcus Nielsen
Rungsted Ishockey
Soren Nielsen
Esbjerg Energy
Nick Olesen
Odense Bulldogs
Andre Pison
Wenathchee Wild
Emil Rasmussen
Rodovre Mighty Bulls
Alexander True
Seattle Thunderbirds


Russia

Goalies:
Name
Team
Denis Kostin
Avangard Omsk
Igor Shestyorkin
SKA St. Petersburg
Ilya Sorokin
Metallurg Novokuznetsk

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Alexander Bryntsev
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Nikita Cherepanov
HK Ryazan
Vladislav Gavrikov
HK Ryazan
Ziat Paigin
Ak Bars Kazan
Ivan Provorov
Brandon Wheat Kings
Rushan Rafikov
HK Ryazan
Rinat Valiev
Kootenay Ice
Dmitri Yudin
SKA St. Petersburg

Forwards:
Name
Team
Ivan Barbashev
Moncton Wildcats
Vladimir Bryukvin
Dynamo Balashikha
Pavel Buchnevich
Severstal Cherepovets
Alexander Dergachyov
SKA-1946 St. Petersburg
Ivan Fishchenko
Sokol Krasnoyarsk
Nikolai Goldobin
IFK Helsinki
Anatoli Golyshev
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
Vladislav Kamenev
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Vyacheslav Leshenko
Atlant Mytishi
Maxim Mamin
CSKA Moscow
Alexander Sharov
Lada Togliatti
Sergei Tolchinski
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds


Sweden

Goalies:
Name
Team
Fredrik Bergvik
Frolunda Gothenburg
Linus Soderstrom
Djurgarden Stockholm
Samuel Ward
Lulea HF

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Sebastian Aho
Skelleftea AIK
Julius Bergman
London Knights
Andreas Englund
Djurgarden Stockholm
Gustav Forsling
Linkopings HC
Robert Hagg
Lehigh Valley Phantoms
William Lagesson
Dubuque Fighting Saints
Robin Norell
Djurgarden Stockholm

Forwards:
Name
Team
Anton Blidh
Frolunda Gothenburg
Leon Bristedt
University of Minnesota
Adam Brodecki
Brynas Gavle
Jacob de la Rose
Hamilton Bulldogs
Christoffer Ehn
Frolunda Gothenburg
Axel Holmstrom
Skelleftea AIK
Anton Karlsson
Frolunda Gothenburg
Adrian Kempe
MODO Ornskoldsvik
Oskar Lindblom
Brynas Gavle
Jens Looke
Brynas Gavle
William Nylander
MODO Ornskoldsvik
Victor Olofsson
MODO Ornskoldsvik
Lucas Wallmark
Lulea HF


Switzerland

Goalies:
Name
Team
Gauthier Decloux
Geneve-Servette
Gilles Senn
HC Davos
Ludovic Waeber
Fribourg-Gotteron

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Phil Baltisberger
Guelph Storm
Michael Fora
Kamploops Blazers
Edson Harlacher
Kloten Flyers
Simon Kindschi
HC Davos
Mirco Muller
San Jose Sharks
Yannick Rathgeb
Plymouth Whalers
Jonas Siegenthaler
ZSC Lions Zurich

Forwards:
Name
Team
Marc Aeschlimann
HC Davos
Luca Fazzini
HC Lugano
Kevin Fiala
HV71 Jonkoping
Jason Fuchs
HC Ambri-Piotta
Luca Hischier
SC Bern
Michael Hugli
EV Zug
Denis Malgin
ZSC Lions Zurich
Timo Meier
Halifax Mooseheads
Noah Rod
Geneve-Servette
Kris Schmidli
Kelowna Rockets
Kay Schweri
Sherbrooke Phoenix
Pius Suter
Guelph Storm
Tim Wieser
Sherbrooke Phoenix


Schedule

December 26
Denmark vs. Russia
Sweden vs. Czech Republic

December 27
Denmark vs. Sweden
Czech Republic vs. Switzerland

December 28
Switzerland vs. Russia

December 29
Czech Republic vs. Denmark
Sweden vs. Russia

December 30
Switzerland vs. Denmark

December 31
Switzerland vs. Sweden
Russia vs. Czech Republic

One Line Previews

Czech Republic: Look to transition U18 success (silver medal last year) into U20 success.

Denmark: Just be better than Germany.

Russia: Russia was successful last time they were close to Buffalo, and might have the roster to replicate that success.

Sweden: Looking to avenge last year's gold medal game loss.

Switzerland: If you want a darkhorse that probably won't make it too far, there is no better pick than the Swiss.

Predictions

Brad

1 - Sweden
2 - Russia
3 - Czech Republic
4 - Switzerland
5 - Denmark

Gold - Sweden
Silver - Canada
Bronze - USA

MDK

1 - Sweden
2 - Russia
3 - Czech Republic
4 - Denmark
5 - Switzerland

Gold - Canada
Silver - Sweden
Bronze - USA