Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Seattle Kraken Mock Expansion Draft

Wednesday is when the hockey world will know who will make up the first ever roster for the Seattle Kraken (am I just going to copy-paste what I wrote four years ago? Maybe). Since here is less than 24 hours left, I figured that I might as well do up an expansion draft as well. I'm not going to do what I did last time and draft two rosters (one I though who would be pick, and the other being who I'd want them to), instead I'm going to impose a few rules. Besides the basics such as position and salary, there are a few guidelines I'm drafting by:

  •  One this is that I'm trying to keep the cap as low as possible. I ended up higher than I wanted to, but left a sizeable enough room for them to operate afterwards.
  • No currently-impending UFAs. RFAs are okay as they still retained the rights. I get that they would have a week to negotiate a contract, but given some of the bigger fish are looking to go to free agency I'm going under the assumption they won't be signed.

Once again using CapFriendly's expansion draft tool, here is who I think Seattle will take, going team-by-team:


Anaheim Ducks

Who I think Seattle picks: Alexander Volkov (LW) - $700,000

Reason: Haydn Fleury seems like a popular pick, and I sort of agree. However the Ducks were one of the last teams I picked from and needed to reach the forward minimum. Volkov has another year under contract and is an RFA after. At worst he's minor-league depth (which every team needs).

Other Considerations: Haydn Fleury (D)

 

Arizona Coyotes

Who I think Seattle picks: Christian Fischer (RW) - $1,000,000

Reason: Given my restrictions this was one of the harder teams to choose from, as a lot of options were UFAs this year. RFA's didn't seem as appealing, so Fischer gets it almost by default.

Other Considerations: Michael Bunting (LW)*

 

Boston Bruins

Who I think Seattle picks: Ondrej Kase (RW) - $2,600,000

Reason: Kase would be in interesting pick. Has potential as he's still relatively young at 25. The oft-injured winger could bounce back and proved a boost to the Kraken's offense.

Other Considerations: Nick Ritchie (LW), Mike Reilly (D)*

 

Buffalo Sabres

Who I think Seattle picks: Colin Miller (D) - $3,875,000

Reason: Unfortunately passing isn't an option. Zemgus Girgensons was my initial pick, but then I remembered Miller was picked by Vegas and thought it would be cool to have one guy that got picked by both recent expansion teams.

Other Considerations: Zemgus Girgensons (C)

 

Calgary Flames

Who I think Seattle picks: Mark Giordano (D) - $6,750,000

Reason: One of the big fish available that I think Seattle will go for. He's still productive at 37 and only has a year left, so if he doesn't work out it's not going to hamper Seattle long-term. So say hello to your new captain Seattle.

Other Considerations: Matthew Phillips (C), Oliver Kylington (D)

 

Carolina Hurricanes

Who I think Seattle picks: Jake Bean (D) - $863,333

Reason:The young defender is an RFA and just completed his rookie season after putting up good numbers in the AHL for the past two years. If Seattle were to start with a younger core he would be a key part of the defense.

Other Considerations: Nino Niederreiter (LW), Dougie Hamilton (D)*

 

Chicago Blackhawks  

Who I think Seattle picks: Adam Gaudette (C) - $950,000

Reason: Not much that was appealing. Gaudette is a decent young player who will likely bounce back after a terrible season.

Other Considerations: Brandon Pirri (LW)*, Malcolm Subban (G)

 

Colorado Avalanche 

Who I think Seattle picks: Joonas Donskoi (RW) - $3,900,000

Reason: My no-UFA policy takes out some appealing options (Gabriel Landeskog, Brandon Saad) so I'll go with the next best forward in Donskoi, how is still good in his won right. He could provide middle-six support or be flipped.

Other Considerations: Gabriel Landeskog (LW)*, Brandon Saad (RW)*

 

Columbus Blue Jackets

Who I think Seattle picks: Max Domi (C) - $5,300,000

Reason: Skimming through the Blue Jackets roster, there weren't may interesting options. At least with Domi, Seattle gets a good center that is looking to have a bounce-back year.

Other Considerations: None.

 

Dallas Stars

Who I think Seattle picks: Julius Honka (D) - $700,000

Reason: Most options were UFA or still projects. I thought about Ben Bishop but between age, cap hit, and having an NMC I don't think it would be too appealing to Seattle. Instead I'm picking Honka, mostly to see if the great analytics war over him will re-ignite if it happened.

Other Considerations: Jamie Oleksiak (D)*, Mark Pysyk (D)*, Ben Bishop (G)

 

Detroit Red Wings

Who I think Seattle picks: Troy Stecher (D) - $1,700,000

Reason: Surprisingly some decent options from a team that is still in rebuild mode. I think the consensus is Stecher getting picked, and it would be a good one, as the Richmond, B.C. native would go back to the west coast (and likely annoy Canuck fans who really want him back).

Other Considerations: Frans Nielsen (C), Vladislav Namestnikov (RW), Evgeny Svechnikov (LW)

 

Edmonton Oilers

Who I think Seattle picks: Oscar Klefbom (D) - $4,167,000

Reason: The Oilers left a few interesting options exposed, but I think the pick is to go with arguably the best available in Klefbom. Injuries sidelined him last year, but at 27 he still has some productive years left. Plus, take him and Giordano and pair them together (combined with Stecher) and watch western Canada meltdown.

Other Considerations: Jujhar Khaira (C), Dominik Kahun (LW)


Florida Panthers

Who I think Seattle picks: Chris Driedger (G) - $850,000

Reason: A cheat pick as Seattle has basically signed him.

Other Considerations: Markus Nutivaara (D), Frank Vatrano (RW)


Los Angeles Kings

Who I think Seattle picks: Carl Grundstrom (LW) - $725,000

Reason: There are some options on the Kings, mostly relating to youth as they look to rebuild. Grundstrom would be a good pick as he's only 23 and still has potential to be a decent piece of Seattle's future. If not, then he can be flipped.

Other Considerations: Kale Clague (D), Martin Frk (RW)*

 

Minnesota Wild

Who I think Seattle picks: Kaapo Kahkonen (G) - $725,000

Reason: Nick Bjugstad was what I was initially thinking, but it seems like Kahkonen has become the popular pick after a good rookie campaign. Might be worth the gamble given he's still on a cheap deal for another year.

Other Considerations: Nick Bjugstad (C), Carson Soucy (D)

 

Montreal Canadiens

Who I think Seattle picks: Brett Kulak (D) - $1,850,000

Reason: Lets just get this out of the way: I very much doubt Seattle will pick Carey Price. Yes, he would be an instantly marketable star for them, but between his age, contract (both amount and remaining) and the news he may need surgery to start the season makes him unappealing to them. Who knows, maybe on wrong and Bergevin's bluff is called (and to a lesser extent leaving Shea Weber and Jonathan Drouin unprotected). Kulak is a good bottom-paring defenseman who can be flipped if Seattle chooses to.

Other Considerations: Jonathan Drouin (LW), Cale Fleury (D)


Nashville Predators

Who I think Seattle picks: Calle Jarnkrok (LW) - $2,000,000

Reason: Nashville has quite a few non-immediate UFA options. Matt Duchene and Ryan Johansen highlight them, and while Johansen may be the most appealing between the two (younger, has some connection to the west coast given he played in Portland in junior), I don't foresee Seattle taking on that kind of cap hit given his drop in production. Jarnkrok is a pretty solid pick at a reasonable cap hit, and is only under contract for next season.

Other Considerations: Ryan Johansen (C)

 

New Jersey Devils 

Who I think Seattle picks: Scott Wedgewood (G) - $700,000

Reason: There were a few options on defense that were intriguing, but in the end I think they go for a cheaper option in Wedgewood. He's has one year remaining so either a low-risk gamble/minor league goaltending depth or someone that gets flipped shortly after the draft.

Other Considerations: P.K. Subban (D), Will Butcher (D), Andreas Johnsson (LW)

 

New York Islanders

Who I think Seattle picks: Sebastian Aho (D) - $725,000

Reason: Jordan Eberle and Josh Bailey are the go-to options, but given the cap implications I'm guessing they go a different route. Aho is still young and shows promise. Plus, it would be funny to see his name announced and have Carolina freak out for a second before realizing it's the other Aho.

Other Considerations: Jordan Eberle (RW), Josh Bailey (RW)


New York Rangers

Who I think Seattle picks: Julian Gauthier (RW) - $863,333

Reason: Looks like slim pickings from the Rangers, and I don't think that the Kraken are eager to take on Barclay Goodrow's new contract. Gauthier is probably the best out of all the options.

Other Considerations: Ty Ronning (C)

 

Ottawa Senators

Who I think Seattle picks: Vitaly Abramov (LW) - $730,833

Reason: Evgeni Dadonov was the first player I looked at, but again the cap hit may be too high for what Seattle wants. Maybe they take a flyer on an RFA here and see how it goes.

Other Considerations: Evgeni Dadonov (RW)

 

Philadelphia Flyers   

Who I think Seattle picks: Shayne Gostisbehere (D) - $4,500,000

Reason: The only interseting options from the Flyers may also be the most expensive ones. Gostisbehere is the younger of the bunch and it may be easier to move a defenseman if they so choose to (like Vegas did).

Other Considerations: Jakub Voracek (RW), James van Riemsdyk

 

Pittsburgh Penguins 

Who I think Seattle picks: Zach Aston-Reese (LW) - $1,000,000

Reason: Almost a no-brainer. Aston-Reese is a solid shutdown winger. Being an RFA, that cap hit will likely be higher, but for now the $1,000,000 price tag is a bargain.

Other Considerations: Marcus Pettersson (D), Evan Rodrigues (RW)

 

San Jose Sharks

Who I think Seattle picks: Ryan Donato (LW) - $1,900,000

Reason: Another one were there doesn't seem to be much to choose from. Donato is a decent winger who is a pending RFA. Another pick that has the potential to be flipped.

Other Considerations: Matt Nieto (LW)

 

St. Louis Blues

Who I think Seattle picks: Vladimir Tarasenko (RW) - $7,500,000

Reason: Another big fish that I think Seattle goes for. His time in St. Louis is basically over at this point and he may miss the start of the year due to surgery, so there is a risk. However, Tarasenko can still put the puck into the net, and - beside the draft - it's not a skill that comes around for free too often.

Other Considerations: Jaden Schwartz (LW)*, Vince Dunn (D), Samuel Blais (RW)


Tampa Bay Lightning

Who I think Seattle picks: Yanni Gourde (C) - $5,166,666

Reason: I've been light on center picks so far, so the Lightning give me a chance to correct. As much as Seattle probably wanted multiple picks from them, they can only choose one. Gourde is probably the best available, as he's shown he can produce for the Lightning.

Other Considerations: Ondrej Palat (RW), Tyler Johnson (RW), Alex Barre-Boulet (C)


Toronto Maple Leafs

Who I think Seattle picks: Jared McCann (LW) - $2,940,000

Reason: I'm not too sold on the leaked video of Seattle picking Alex Kerfoot. Sure, he was rumoured to be a target of theirs, but if you have someone of similar profile who is younger and cheaper (like McCann is), I can't see why they would pass on that option.

Other Considerations: Alex Kerfoot (C), Travis Dermott (D)


Vancouver Canucks

Who I think Seattle picks: Jay Beagle (C) - $3,000,000

Reason: The Canucks didn't have much that was interesting. I did start warming up to the idea of Beagle being picked and used as a defensive shutdown/penalty killing center then flipped during the season. Given that he one has one year left it's not a terrible gamble to make.

Other Considerations: Sven Baertschi (LW), Travis Hamonic (D)*

 

Washington Capitals

Who I think Seattle picks: Vitek Vanecek (G) - $716,667

Reason: As much as it would be amazing, I'm not so sure the Kraken would take Ovechkin. Vanecek seems like the popular option given his performance last season, and is another low-risk goalie gamble/trade chip.

Other Considerations: Alex Ovechkin (LW)*, Carl Hagelin (LW)

 

Winnipeg Jets

Who I think Seattle picks: Dylan Demelo (D) - $3,000,000

Reason: Another solid defenseman with term. Seattle will have plenty of options with Demelo (whether they choose to play him or trade him).

Other Considerations: Mathieu Perreault (LW)*

* Notes considerations that are UFA this year.

Name
Position
Former Team
Vitaly Abramov   
Forward
Ottawa Senators
Zach Aston-Reese
Forward
Pittsburgh Penguins
Jay Beagle
Forward
Vancouver Canucks
Max Domi
Forward
Columbus Blue Jackets
Ryan Donato
Forward
San Jose Sharks
Joonas Donskoi
Forward
Colorado Avalanche
Christian Fischer
Forward
Arizona Coyotes
Adam Gaudette
Forward
Chicago Blackhawks
Julian Gauthier
Forward
New York Rangers
Yanni Gourde
Forward
Tampa Bay Lightning
Carl Grundstrom
Forward
Los Angeles Kings
Calle Jarnkrok
Forward
Nashville Predators
Ondrej Kase
Forward
Boston Bruins
Jared McCann
Forward
Toronto Maple Leafs
Vladimir Tarasenko
Forward
St. Louis Blues
Alexander Volkov
Forward
Anaheim Ducks
Sebastian Aho
Defenseman
New York Islanders
Jake Bean
Defenseman
Carolina Hurricanes
Dylan Demelo
Defenseman
Winnipeg Jets
Mark Giordano
Defenseman
Calgary Flames
Shayne Gostisbehere
Defenseman
Philadelphia Flyers
Julius Honka
Defenseman
Dallas Stars
Oscar Klefbom
Defenseman
Edmonton Oilers
Brett Kulak
Defenseman
Montreal Canadiens
Colin Miller
Defenseman
Buffalo Sabres
Troy Strecher
Defenseman
Detroit Red Wings
Chris Driedger
Goalie
Florida Panthers
Kaapo Kahkonen
Goalie
Minnesota Wild
Vitek Vanecek
Goalie
Washington Capitals
Scott Wedgewood
Goalie
New Jersey Devils

To summarized: 16 forwards, 10 defensemen, and 4 goalies were picked, with 22 under contract for next year. The cap hit is just shy of $71.4-million, leaving about $10-million in cap space to use, which leaves Seattle with a good chunk to use on free agency (or to sign some of the RFAs). It was lighter on centers than I expected, but given some of the picks were done with trades in mind there is the possibly to shore up that position. Same with goalies, as much as it would be tempting to pick a big name there, age and contracts may lead to them looking to acquire it elsewhere. On the other side, Seattle will have a pretty strong defense.

Will any of this be what Seattle does? Maybe a few picks. We'll find out tonight.

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