Thursday, November 5, 2015

Showing Some International Love: 2018 Olympic Qualification Round 1 - Group L Preview

Round 1 of Olympic Qualification continues tomorrow, as Spain host Group L. This tournament was moved to Spain after originally being scheduled to take place in Serbia. Nonetheless, Serbia is still taking part in this tournament. China and Iceland round out the group.

Note: Most information from the IIHF website.

World Rankings

30. Serbia
31. Spain
35. Iceland
38. China

Rosters

China

Goalies:
Name
Team
Zhiwei Liu
Harbin
Shengrong Xia
Harbin

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Tengyi Fu
Harbin
Tianyi Guan
Harbin
Tianyu Hu
Qiqihar
Longtan Liu
Qiqihar
Qing Liu
Qiqihar
Yungang Na
Harbin
Chao Wen
Harbin
Mingxi Yang
Qiqihar

Forwards:
Name
Team
Jaichang Bao
Harbin
Xijun Cui
Qiqihar
Peng Ji
Harbin
Hang Li
Qiqihar
Xinlei Li
Harbin
Zhengyu Li
Qiqihar
Yidong Qu
Harbin
Tainxiang Xia
Harbin
Xudong Xiang
Harbin
Cheng Zhang
Qiqihar
Hao Zhang
Harbin
Ziyang Zhu
Harbin


Iceland

Goalies:
Name
Team
Snorri Sigurbergsson
Krakene Moss
Omar Skulason
Bjorninn Reykjavik

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Birkir Arnason
Bjorninn Reykjavik
Ingthor Arnason
Motala AIF
Bergur Einarsson
Bjorninn Reykjavik
Andri Helgason
Bjorninn Reykjavik
Steindor Ingason
Almaguin Spartans
Ingvar Jonsson
Skautafelag Akureyrar
Robert Palsson
UMFK Esja

Forwards:
Name
Team
Emil Alengaard
Haninge Anchors
Ulfar Andresson
Bjorninn Reykjavik
Brynjar Bergmann
UMFK Esja
Arnthor Bjarnason
Skautafelag Reyjavikur
Olafur Bjornsson
UMFK Esja
Jon Gislason
Skautafelag Akureyrar
Falur Gudnason
Bjorninn Reykjavik
Robin Hedstrom
HC Backen
Johann Leifsson
Motala AIF
Petur Maack
UMFK Esja
Andri Mikaelsson
Skautafelag Akureyrar
Bjorn Sigurdarson
Imatran Kettera
Egill Thormodsson
UMFK Esja


Serbia

Goalies:
Name
Team
Aleksandar Fat
Vitez Belgrade
Arsenije Rankovic
HASC Jurmala
Petar Stepanovic
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Uros Bjelogrlic
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Marko Brkusanin
Partizan Belgrade
Stefan Ilic
HC Valpellice
Dragan Komazec
Partizan Belgrade
Aleksa Lukovic
Partizan Belgrade
Ugljesa Novakovic
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Robert Sabados
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

Forwards:
Name
Team
Dimitrije Filipovic
Partizan Belgrade
Ivan Glavonjic
HASC Jurmala
Nemanja Jankovic
Partizan Belgrade
Nikola Kerezovic
Beostar Belgrade
Marko Milovanovic
Partizan Belgrade
Petar Novakovic
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Pavel Popravka
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Nenad Rakovic
Partizan Belgrade
Srdjan Ristic
Partizan Belgrade
Dordije Terzic
Partizan Belgrade
Nemanja Vucurevic
Eispiraten Crimmitschau
Andrej Zwick
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade


Spain

Goalies:
Name
Team
Ander Alcaine
CH Jaca
Ignacio Garcia
SAD Majadahonda
Jhon Sebastian Varela
FC Barcelona

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Guillermo Betran
CH Jaca
Alfonso Garcia
SAD Majadahonda
Adrian Ubieto
CH Jaca
Alejandro Vea
CHH Txuri-Urdin
Jorge Vea
CHH Txuri-Urdin

Forwards:
Name
Team
Alejandro Carbonell
CH Jaca
Patricio Fuentes
CHH Txuri-Urdin
Gaston Gonzalez
CH Jaca
Pol Gonzalez
Concordia University
Juan Munoz
CHH Txuri-Urdin
Pablo Munoz
FC Barcelona
Juan Jose Palacin
CH Jaca
Alejandro Pedraz
SAD Majadahonda
Pablo Puyuelo
FC Barcelona
Ignacio Solorzano
CHH Txuri-Urdin


Schedule

November 6
Iceland - Serbia
Spain - China

November 7
Serbia - China
Spain - Iceland

November 8
China - Iceland
Serbia - Spain

Last 5 International Matches

China: 10-3 Win (Bulgaria), 4-3 SO Win (Israel), 7-4 Win (New Zealand), 5-2 Win (Mexico), 7-3 Win (South Africa)

Iceland: 3-0 Win (Belgium), 5-4 Loss (Serbia), 4-2 Loss (Spain), 6-1 Win (Australia), 3-2 OT Loss (Romania)

Serbia: 8-4 Loss (Romania), 5-4 Win (Iceland), 4-3 SO Loss (Australia), 3-2 OT Loss (Belgium), 4-3 SO Win (Spain)

Spain: 6-1 Win (Australia), 6-2 Loss (Belgium), 4-2 Win (Iceland), 7-1 Loss (Romania), 4-3 SO Loss (Serbia)

Predictions

1 (Qualify for Round 2) - Iceland
2 - Serbia
3 - Spain
4 - China

This is the harder of the two groups to predict. Last World Championship, Serbia, Iceland, and Spain all tied in their group (China won Division II Group B and will be facing those three teams in April). Just looking at the rosters, I have to give the edge to Iceland, as they are taking much of their World Championship roster to Spain. Serbia is missing a couple of top guys, which will hurt them in such a short tournament like this. Spain is also playing with a lesser roster. China, while keeping much of the same players, still played at a lower level. While they may keep it competitive, it's hard to overlook how tight the other three teams are.

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Showing Some International Love: 2018 Olympic Qualification Round 1 - Group K Preview

Qualification for PyeongChang 2018 is underway, as Round 1 starts tomorrow. Estonia host Group K, and are the favourites to win and move on to Round 2. Mexico, Israel, and Bulgaria (who had to beat Georgia to earn a spot in this group) round out the competition.

Note: Most information from the IIHF website.

World Rankings

29. Estonia
32. Mexico
33. Israel
39. Bulgaria

Rosters

Bulgaria

Goalies:
Name
Team
Dimitar Dimitrov
CSKA Sofia
Nikola Nikolov
CSKA Sofia

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Nikolay Bozhanov
CSKA Sofia
Ivaylo Georgiev
Slavia Sofia
Stanislav Kanchev
NSA Sofia
Reymand Mladenov
Slavia Sofia
Kristian Radovanov
Slavia Sofia
Kristian Semkov
CSKA Sofia
Yavor Slavchev
Slavia Sofia
Bogdan Stefanov
CSKA Sofia
Aleksandar Vasilev
Slavia Sofia

Forwards:
Name
Team
Georgi Blagoev
MSHK Mladez Prievidza
Martin Boyadjiev
CSKA Sofia
Yanaki Gatchev
CSKA Sofia
Atanas Genkov
Slavia Sofia
Petar Tchaliov
CSKA Sofia
Aleksandar Todorov
Slavia Sofia


Estonia

Goalies:
Name
Team
Villem-Henrik Koitmaa
No Team
Daniil Seppenen
Narva PSK
Roman Shumikhin
HC Panter Tallinn

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Michael Mahkwa Auksi
Brockton Generals
Silver Kerna
Jukurit Mikkeli
Lauri Lahesalu
Angers Ducs
Artjom Minin
Porvoo Hunters
Maksim Robushkin
Viru Sputnik Kohtla Jarve
Pelle Sildre
HC Panter Tallinn
Ilja Urushev
HC Panter Tallinn

Forwards:
Name
Team
Robert Arrak
Espoo Blues
Artur Fedoruk
HC Panter Tallinn
Artjom Gornostajev
Muik Nykarleby
Nikita Kozorev
Augsburger EV
Aleksandr Kuznetsov
Tallinn Viiking Sport
Jan Lukats
EHC Bad Aibling
Robert Rooba
Espoo Blues
Ragnar-Hindrek Russ
JHT Kalajoki
Mihkel Sinikas
Espoo Blues
Jaanus Sorokin
HC Panter Tallinn
Risto Teppan
Salo Kiekkohait
Vassili Titarenko
Viru Sputnik Kohtla Jarve
Mihkel Vorang
HC Panter Tallinn


Israel

Goalies:
Name
Team
Maxim Gokhberg
Bat Yam Icebergs
Alexander Loginov
Rishon Devils

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Dotan Gotshtein
Maalot
Ori Kafri
Bat Yam Icebergs
Denis Kozev
Haifa Hawks
Evgeni Margoulis
Rishon Devils
Vlad Nosankov
MAC Metulla
Denis Raiter
Maalot

Forwards:
Name
Team
Roey Aharonovich
Billings Bulls
Itay Ben Tov
Maalot
Maxim Buz
Rishon Devils
Joshua Greenberg
Bat Yam Icebergs
Evgueni Natalchenko
HC Metulla
Mark Revniaga
Maalot
Ron Sherf
Rishon Devils
Ilya Spektor
Kfar Saba
Ron Vainshtein
MAC Metulla


Mexico

Goalies:
Name
Team
Alfonso de Alba
Halcones Lomas Verdes
Andres de la Garma
Osos Mexico

Defensemen:
Name
Team
Jose Carlos Jimenez
Osos Mexico
Gustavo Martinez
Tigres Nuevo Leon
Francisco Padilla
Osos Mexico
Fernando Ugarte
Osos Mexico

Forwards:
Name
Team
Brian Arroyo
Sharks Lerma
Roberto Chabat
Osos Mexico
Guillermo Diaz
Osos Mexico
Carlos Gomez
Mapaches Queretaro
Luis David Gonzalez
Pumas Distrito Federal
Antonio Najera
Sharks Lerma
Sebastian Ortega
Osos Mexico
Jorge Perez
Osos Mexico
Andres Perez Galicia
Osos Mexico
Enrique Arturo Samperio
Sharks Lerma
Christian Smithers
Osos Mexico
Carlo Tommasi
Osos Mexico


Schedule

November 5
Mexico - Bulgaria
Israel - Estonia

November 7
Mexico - Israel
Estonia - Bulgaria

November 8
Bulgaria - Israel
Estonia - Mexico

Last 5 International Matches

Bulgaria: 2-1 Win (South Africa), 9-1 Loss (Mexico), 10-5 Win (Israel), 5-1 Loss (New Zealand), 9-1 Win (Georgia)

Estonia: 7-3 Loss (South Korea), 2-1 Loss (Great Britain), 6-1 Loss (Lithuania), 5-2 Loss (Croatia), 3-1 Win (Netherlands)

Israel: 6-3 Loss (New Zealand), 4-3 SO Loss (China), 6-3 Win (South Africa), 10-5 Loss (Bulgaria), 6-3 Loss (Mexico)

Mexico: 4-1 Win (South Africa), 5-3 Loss (New Zealand), 9-1 Win (Bulgaria), 5-2 Loss (China), 6-3 Win (Israel)

Predictions

1 (Qualify for Round 2) - Estonia
2 - Mexico
3 - Bulgaria
4 - Israel

This group isn't even fair, as Estonia plays a full division above the rest of the group. Even with bringing a weaker roster to this round, Estonia should have no problem advancing to the next round. Mexico might take second, even though they are also going with a weaker lineup. Bulgaria and Israel have opted for more youth, as they have rosters with the average age of 22 and 21 (respectively). Bulgaria has been on the upswing for a bit now, and should take third place. Israel settles into last in this group.

Sunday, October 18, 2015

The Last of the Zeroes

It's still early in the season, with every team playing at least 4 games (some up to 6). Still, there are a few teams that sit near the bottom of the standings, having failed to register a win of some kind. Here are the remaining three winless teams, along with their next five games and when they will likely end up with a W.

Note: when I started writing the Kings and Oilers were also winless. The message here: procrastination is a hard habit to get rid of...and also: really Edmonton? couldn't be inept for one more game?

Anaheim Ducks

Current Record: 0-3-1   1PT

Next 5 Games:
vs. Minnesota Wild (October 18)
@ Nashville Predators (October 22)
@ Minnesota Wild (October 24)
@ Chicago Blackhawks (October 26)
@ Dallas Stars (October 27)

Most Likely to Win: against Minnesota tonight.

This team is too good to be winless this long. They are not getting the bounces early on in the season. Four games in, and there shooting percentage is at a paltry 0.78% (less than A percent!) and there PDO is at 0.927, pretty far from even (1.000). All this despite being able to control possession in three of four games this season. It's only a matter of time until things start going there way, and tonight seems like a good night for things to normalize.


Columbus Blue Jackets

Current Record: 0-6-0   0PTS

Next 5 Games:
vs. New York Islanders (October 20)
@ Minnesota Wild (October 22)
@ Colorado Avalanche (October 24)
@ New Jersey Devils (October 27)
@ Washington Capitals (October 30)

Most Likely to Win: at Colorado on Saturday

The Cinderella pick to possibly take a playoff spot this year is freefalling early in the season. They are the only team on this list to not even have a point in the standings. Just like the Ducks, the Blue Jackets are suffering from a horrid PDO (0.899), but this time it's due to a lack of goaltending. Sergei Bobrovsky is not playing well and Curtis McElhinney hasn't been much better in relief. It's not going to be easier for 'Lumbus, as they face the Islanders and Wild in their next two games. Their best chance to get a win will come later in the week, as they make stops in Colorado and New Jersey (a possible battle of winless teams). If they fail to win this week, then it may look like a winless month for the Blue Jackets, as they face the Capitals to close out October.


New Jersey Devils

Current Record: 0-3-1   1PT

Next 5 Games:
@ New York Rangers (October 18)
vs. Arizona Coyotes (October 20)
@ Ottawa Senators (October 22)
@ Buffalo Sabres (October 24)
vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (October 27)

Most Likely to Win: against Buffalo on Saturday

This season wasn't going to be a pretty one for the Devils and it's showing early. That being said, their schedule coming up is seems favourable to them. The Rangers aside, the Devils face a off-to-a-good-start Coyotes, an ok Sens team, a still rebuilding Buffalo, and a hurting (mentally) Blue Jackets. New Jersey might struggle through the season, but their winless streak should end sometime this week.